TFM’s 2017 College Football National Championship Preview
Game: Alabama vs. Clemson
Line: Alabama -6
Pick: Who do you think?
If my chest cavity wasn’t a smoke-tinged cavern of broken dreams and dollar signs, I’d probably be picking Dabo and the Tigers to avenge the cold blooded ousting of America’s favorite offensive coordinator, Lane Kiffin. Though I enjoyed last weekend’s offensive debacle in which Kiffin was berated more times than he allowed the unstoppable Bo Scarbrough to run the ball, I still cannot believe Nick Saban abruptly dumped his womanizing manchild offensive guru (who, mind you, has engineered the 3 most prolific offenses in Alabama’s modern history with three different quarterbacks) for someone people say is “far more mature” in Sark. You know, the guy he chased pussy with at USC who’s also a Frank Gallagher-level alcoholic. Nice.
While poor Lane is off tightening his Tinder game and trying to figure out where the fuck Florida Atlantic University even is, the Crimson Tide face by far their stiffest test of the season, with Clemson’s dynamic offense led by QB DeShaun Watson and likely top 10 NFL Draft pick WR Mike Williams. The Tigers, likely the most athletic offense in the nation, will start 7 players Monday night projected in the first three rounds of April’s draft, double that of the “stacked” Crimson Tide, presenting an apparent challenge to the mid-tier NFL defense orchestrated by Saban and first-year defensive coordinator Jeremy Pruitt. Watson is a dynamic veteran that gashed the Crimson Tide in the first edition of this modern clash of the titans last year, with most Clemson fans claiming the Tigers simply “ran out of time” in an instant classic. With another year of experience, the healthy return of his top target, and an offensive line surrendering the least sacks of any ACC unit, one would think the Tigers to be a strong upset pick on Monday night, right?
Not so fast, my friends.
Yes, the Tigers are good, but let’s not forget this is the same team that needed Dabo’s conjuring of spirits to escape a loss at home against lowly NC State, gave up about a million yards to a bad Pittsburgh team, and has sleep walked through one of America’s easiest schedules prior to castrating the Buckeyes last weekend.
Let’s look at the matchups:
QB
Jalen Hurts vs. DeShaun Watson
Advantage: Clemson
Hurts has been a freshman revelation, likely the greatest in the storied history of Alabama, but Watson might be the most complete signal caller in the nation (with three years of added experience).
RB
Wayne Gallman vs. Bo Scarbrough/Damien Harris
Advantage: Alabama
Gallman is an upper-tier back that wears down defenses, especially in the not-so-vaunted ACC. But, as is apparently Alabama tradition, Scarbrough is a mountain of a man who runs like a 150 lb track sprinter. I’m telling you, they put something in the water down in Tuscaloosa. And by “water,” I might mean syringe.
WR/TE
Mike Williams/Ray-Ray McCloud vs. Calvin Ridley/ArDarius Stewart/O.J. Howard
Advantage: Alabama
Mike Williams is the best overall player of both units, but Alabama’s patently unfair depth, with two former 5 stars listed as their fourth and fifth receivers, is too much for Clemson’s patchwork secondary to contain. Howard is the best — and most painfully underused — tight end in the country, and if there’s one person I trust to shut down Williams (or at least contain him), it’s the nation’s best defensive backs coach: Nick Saban.
OL
Advantage: Alabama
Cam Robinson looks like the next in a long line of Crimson Tide top 10 drafted tackles, they somehow have another four former top 100 recruits starting along the first unit line, and Coach Mario Cristobal, who is said to be on his way out of Tuscaloosa for Oregon’s OC position, is one of the best in the country. Clemson, though great in pass protection, is simply overmatched athletically.
Defense
Advantage: Alabama. Over everyone ever.
There’s no point in breaking this down, as it is not close and frankly wouldn’t be with any college unit. Alabama, behind Reuben Foster, has assembled the most terrifyingly athletic and hard hitting collection of linebackers college football has ever seen. Jonathan Allen, Da’Shawn Hand, and the rest of the Crimson Tide defensive line, that goes literally 8 deep with future NFL players, terrorizes quarterbacks to an extent even Saban has never experienced before, generating more pressure while dedicating 7 players to coverage than any team in the last 5 years. Even without corner Eddie Jackson (out with injury), Minkah Fitzpatrick leads a defensive back unit responsible for more total touchdowns and turnovers than any other Power 5 member unit, making Jake Browning look like Brock Osweiler last week in the process. The Alabama defense is shockingly good, and this time they don’t have a coordinator with both feet out the door before the Clemson game. Thanks, Kirby.
Pick: Alabama 34 Clemson 20
The Crimson Tide swarm defensively, and Sarkisian finally lets Bo run wild against an athletic but inexperienced and undersized Clemson front 7..
Image via Twitter
I like the boys with paw prints on their hats!
8 years ago at 12:53 pmBama wins. We all lose.
8 years ago at 1:01 pmIs over 50.5 a solid enough bet to add to an already 3 team parlay?
8 years ago at 1:14 pmHard to say. First game ever for Sark as OC, Alabama has greatest defense I’ve ever seen. It’s a really tough call. Last year Kirby smart was already Georgia coach by the time of the game and clearly phoned it in.
8 years ago at 1:44 pmSibs, we miss you and your shitty sports picks. Hope you haven’t had your knee caps shit rocked from owing money to the wrong people.
8 years ago at 2:53 pmCongratulations to Clemson, hard fought victory
8 years ago at 1:45 pmBob, before I attempt to happy Gilmore you, at least acknowledge last week 5/6 on winners 4/6 on spreads.
8 years ago at 2:12 pmYou jinxed me though
8 years ago at 3:11 pmNo, your horrid offensive line “jinxed” you. Please tell me you have a Speight replacement for next year
8 years ago at 3:23 pmLook out for Brandon Peters or Dylan McCaffrey. But don’t underestimate what I can do with Speight with another offseason. I made Kaepernick look like an MVP for a month or two
8 years ago at 3:55 pmI’m 100% on the mccaffrey team. Never bet against that family and the kid seems to have all the tools. Speight’s throwing motion looks like my whore of a prepubescent sisters.
8 years ago at 4:27 pmBring her on campus
8 years ago at 5:28 pmthe price is wrong, Bob
8 years ago at 7:48 pmYour scores were so off
8 years ago at 8:52 pmMy bovada balance says fuck off.
8 years ago at 10:05 pmI thought TFM got paid by a different gambling site
8 years ago at 11:29 pmA broken clock is right twice a day
8 years ago at 10:21 pmThat’s fair. My first 4 weeks of NFL picks were impossibly awful.
8 years ago at 12:28 amThis comment got funnier because Clemson actually won
8 years ago at 12:57 pmTake Clemson. Never a good idea to have an alcoholic calling the offense
8 years ago at 2:03 pmI’m hardcore UA fan, have friends playing there, but Clemson’s going to win. For absolute sure to me.
8 years ago at 2:33 pmignant
8 years ago at 11:19 pm2001 Miami is a 14 point favorite over this Alabama team.
8 years ago at 2:33 pmLane Kiffin is the happiest man in America. I think Sark was back on the sauce during the game. And if he wasn’t, he sure is now. Worst offensive game plan I’ve ever seen in a game of that magnitude.
8 years ago at 1:39 amI don’t think the offensive game plan was that bad. Jalen just doesn’t have the experience yet to read a defense and audible. Also Bo got hurt and that started that streak of three and outs which gassed our defense. Clemson beat us at our own game. The only thing I’m salty about is that was obviously offensive pass interference on two big plays that could have made a big difference.
8 years ago at 3:20 amJordan legget is better than O.J. you dipshit. Also how about Deon Cain and Artavis Scott. Jesus Christ man do you even watch college football. Calvin Ridley’s production is down 300 yards from last year and their freshman qb is going to be listening to a barely functional alcoholic.
8 years ago at 2:37 pm“Undersized front 7” with multiple 300 pound 5 star recruits damn you’re stupid
8 years ago at 2:40 pmYes they start two freshmen on the line. You’re telling me, for instance, Jonathan allen who’s had 4 years of Alabama S&C isn’t bigger and stronger? Come on.
8 years ago at 2:46 pmI said they’re not undersized I never said Johnathen Allen wasn’t better. Clemson is clearly second behind Alabama in defensive line talent
8 years ago at 2:51 pmStrange then that essentially every mock draft has Howard as a top 50 overall pick and leggett nowhere to be seen.
8 years ago at 2:45 pmWeird I thought we were talking about college. Dak was drafted late and led the Cowboys to the playoffs. Draft projections don’t mean shit especially not about tight ends
8 years ago at 2:50 pmI want to know what drugs you’re on to think OJ Howard isn’t 1000 times better than Leggett
8 years ago at 1:39 amThank god I already took the Clemson money line at +215.
8 years ago at 2:59 pmYour WR/TE category is ridiculous. McCloud is MAYBE the 5th best receiver on Clemson. Williams, Cain, Scott, Leggett, Renfrow, and then McCloud
8 years ago at 4:31 pm