A Lot Of Idiots Put Money On Two Schools To Win The National Championship
College football is coming in hot. Camps are heating up, and we’re only 31 days until the season starts. I’m pumped, you’re pumped, we’re all pumped. With the start of college football season also means fans are unloading their wallets on teams to win the national championship.
As of today, Ohio State is a 12/5 odds on favorite to repeat as national champions. That’s fair given what they did at the end of last season. If you were to compile your top five list of the most bet-on teams, they would probably include the usual suspects: Ohio State, Bama, Oregon, TCU, and Baylor. You’re a smart gambler; you like to actually bet on something that is likely to happen. However, it seems like America is full of idiots. Take a look at the top five from Las Vegas SuperBook:
Top 5 by money bet to win national title @LVSuperBook:
1. Ohio St (4x more $ than Bama)
2. Alabama
3. Auburn
4. Notre Dame
5. Michigan (
— David Payne Purdum (@DavidPurdum) August 1, 2015
I can understand the top 3, but 4 and 5? Come on, guys. Notre Dame is perennially that team everyone thinks is going to be good, and ends up going 8-4 or 7-5 despite having a cake schedule.
And Michigan? No offense to Jimmy H, but they are a few years from being real contenders. That’s just the cycle of having to rebuild a team.
The rule of thumb here is that sometimes it’s a good idea to make an educated bet on a team with long odds, but never bet on your team just to show loyalty. That’s why I’m taking TCU and Baylor to cover whatever the spread is against my SMU Mustangs. It could be 50 and I’m still confident they’ll beat us by 70..
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You know notre dame has one of the toughest schedules in the nation? Also one the few teams not playing an FCS school. I agree they shouldn’t be in a title conversation but saying they play cake schedules is quite naive of the past ten years of schedules.
9 years ago at 11:39 pmThis. When they went undefeated in the regular season and ended up losing to Bama in the national title game, their pre-season SoS was #1 by most projections. Turns out only one or two of the teams they beat ended up being top 25 by seasons end, but to say that they have a cupcake schedule year in and year out is a joke
Their cupcakes are power conference rivalry games, which is never easy. ie. Purdue, BC, Pitt, etc.
9 years ago at 8:41 amI got a terribly crafted e-mail from my 60+ year old bookie reminding me the seasons starting soon. What a time to be alive.
9 years ago at 11:44 pmThey’ve actually never played a FCS school along with only UCLA and USC. But I have a better chance getting lucky with the hot girl at the bar than the Irish even making the playoffs.
9 years ago at 12:14 am